When Has Raising Taxes Helped A Recession?
The Australian government has recently announced the budget for the 2009-2010 financial year – as a budget, it wasn’t too bad. Raising the old age pension has been on the cards for ten years now – I am surprised it has taken this long to implement it.
Infrastructure spending was always going to be the center piece and I guess you can thank the Howard/Costello era – they ran infrastructure spending into the ground so there are plenty of areas to spend big dollars.
Australia has been called the lucky country and to an extent we are. We have ridden on the back of a resources boom for the last decade and it will be resources again that take us out of the recession. China is one country that will be hit hard but it will bounce back faster than most countries – and they are one of our biggest customers when it comes to resources.
So the budget was a ho-hum affair really. The biggest issue to come out of it has been the mean testing of the private health insurance subsidy. I don’t quite follow the argument. I cannot for the life of me see why someone on $75,000 a year or more, would drop their health insurance because they lose a couple of dollars a week in a subsidy. In fact, I don’t know why we are subsidizing families on $150,000 plus with a seven dollar a week subsidy (and that is all it is really). It seems to be a storm in tea cup used to try and knock the budget.
No-No Mal, leader of the Liberal Party and supposedly our alternative Prime Minister, has been on a negative track since taking on the role. In Australian political history, no opposition leader has ever won office with a negative campaign. In fact, they have often lost ground.
His latest suggestion actually has me wondering what economic credentials he has – but of course, he was a banker before entering politics – and who got the world economy into its present state? Bankers!
The Liberal Party has suggested a return to the old days where beer and cigarette taxes are used to fund government spending. There is are number of problems with this approach – first, beer and cigarette taxes tend to hit those on lower incomes the hardest. Their suggestion to increase the tax on cigarettes by three cents per stick sounds harmless. However, the effect is an increase of around $1 per packet. With about 1.5 million smokers, that is effectively 1.5 million dollars taken out of the economy – each day.
Can our economy afford that at present? I think not. The 1.5 million would be better off going through the cash registers of local businesses, keeping people in jobs and keeping the economy moving.
Once we start to come out of the recession, and once we need to start cutting the federal governments budget deficits, that will be the time to increase these taxes.
My question is – when will we get a federal opposition that really is thinking of Australia’s future rather than their own? Right now, Turnbull and his team of negative pollies are doing neither!




